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Rethinking the "40" in 60/40 portfolios
Look beyond the headlines: The biggest portfolio construction story may not be what is happening inside the “60,” but the growing possibilities inside the “40.”
- How is the role of the "40" in the traditional 60/40 allocation changing? For much of the post-Global Financial Crisis (GFC) era, the “40” primarily served as a counterbalance to equity risk, providing diversification and stability. Today, higher yields may allow advisors to pursue both portfolio resilience and meaningful income generation.
- Does this mean the opportunity set within the “40” has broadened beyond that presented by traditional bonds? Treasuries, investment-grade corporates, securitized credit, preferred securities, municipals, and floating-rate loans all offer potential ways to complement equities, while pursuing income and risk management objectives.
- Within the “40,” how should investors be thinking about leveraged loans? Leveraged loans generally use floating-rate coupons, which can reduce interest-rate sensitivity while generating income. Fidelity research shows historically low duration exposure and more frequent outperformance of consumer price inflation (CPI) since 1992, compared with many traditional inflation-sensitive assets.
- Could the expanding opportunity set within the “40” mark the start of a new era for portfolio construction? The debate is no longer whether investors should own something besides stocks. The question now is how advisors can use a broader set of income-producing assets to improve portfolio outcomes.
During much of the post-GFC period, cash yielded next to nothing, bond yields hovered near historic lows, and investors seeking meaningful income often found themselves pushed further out on the risk spectrum. Equities became the primary source of return, while fixed income frequently served one purpose: diversification. Today, the environment looks a little different. With yields substantially higher across much of the fixed income universe, and the Fed raising rates once again, advisors have an opportunity to rethink fixed income’s role in portfolio construction.
What is the purpose of the "40”?
For decades, the traditional balanced portfolio has been described as 60% growth assets and 40% diversifiers. Yet the "40" was never intended to be a static collection of bonds. Instead, its role was to help investors achieve broader portfolio objectives. Sometimes that meant reducing volatility. Sometimes that meant generating income. Sometimes that meant preserving capital. Over the last 15 years, however, many investors came to think about the “40” in a much narrower way. When yields were compressed, generating income became increasingly difficult. Bonds often provided diversification benefits but offered less support for cash-flow needs, leading many investors to shift their focus toward portfolio growth.
Now that trade-off may no longer be necessary. Higher starting yields have changed the math. Rather than relying on fixed income primarily as a portfolio shock absorber, advisors may once again be able to use it to generate meaningful income while diversifying equity risk. A recent Fidelity Market Signals commentary indicated that today's higher yields may provide opportunities across multiple fixed income sectors, allowing investors to benefit from carry, income generation, and diversification without necessarily extending into longer-duration bonds.
In many ways, this may represent one of the most underappreciated investment opportunities available. The conversation surrounding markets often centers on stocks: Which sectors are leading? Which themes are emerging? Which companies are growing the fastest? But investors do not build portfolios with stocks alone. Portfolio construction is about combining assets with different return drivers, different risk characteristics, and different sources of income. When yields were near zero, many of those building blocks looked relatively similar.
Over time, the menu of roles fixed income can play in a portfolio has expanded considerably:
- Treasuries can provide quality and liquidity.
- Investment-grade corporate bonds can potentially provide attractive income, while maintaining a relatively strong credit profile.
- Securitized assets may offer differentiated sources of return.
- Municipal bonds can provide tax-aware income opportunities for certain investors.
- Preferred securities and dividend-oriented strategies can potentially bridge the gap between traditional stocks and bonds.
- And floating-rate investments, including leveraged loans and AAA collateralized loan obligations (CLOs), introduce a completely different set of characteristics that deserve attention in the current market environment.
One area in particular that may merit renewed consideration is leveraged loans.
Unlike traditional fixed-rate bonds, leveraged loans generally carry floating-rate coupons that adjust with short-term interest rates, helping to reduce interest-rate sensitivity while maintaining attractive levels of income. In this leveraged loan research, Fidelity experts found that leveraged loans have historically exhibited very low duration exposure and been among the most consistent inflation-fighting asset classes over the past three decades. Since 1992, their rolling returns have exceeded CPI inflation more frequently than many traditional inflation-sensitive asset classes (Exhibit 1).
<cat-utility></cat-utility>Exhibit 1: History of select asset classes exceeding the rate of inflation
Hit rate: Frequency of exceeding CPI
Past performance is no guarantee of future results. All asset class returns calculated based on all available data since 1/1/92, unless otherwise noted (commodity equities and S&P Global Infrastructure, due to data history constraints). In some cases, multiple indices are used to create a composite for an asset class, as noted. S&P 500 = S&P 500 Index; Bloomberg Aggregate = Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index; 60/40 Portfolio = a mix of the S&P 500 (60%) and the Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index (40%); Gold = the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) Gold PM Fix (average of monthly prices); Commodities = Dow Jones UBS Commodity Index; Commodity Equities = since 12/31/98, the MSCI ACWI Commodity Producers Sector Capped Index; S&P Global Infrastructure = since 12/29/06, the S&P Global Infrastructure Index; Real Estate Equity = Dow Jones US Select Real Estate Securities Index; Real Estate Debt = the FTSE NAREIT All REITs Index until 12/96, and thereafter, a mix of the ICE BofA US Corporate Index (40%), the MSCI REIT Preferred Index (40%), and the FTSE NAREIT All REITs Index (20%); TIPS = data compiled by Fidelity Investments through 2/97, and thereafter, the Barclays Capital US TIPS Index; Leveraged Loans = the CSFB Leveraged Loans Index from 1/92 to 1/99, and thereafter, the Morningstar LSTA Leveraged Loan Index. Source: FactSet and Fidelity Investments, as of 6/30/26.
In addition, leveraged loans have historically helped preserve purchasing power, while offering high-single-digit yields. As of May 2026, their yield-to-worst stood at 8.1%, the highest among public market fixed income sectors (Exhibit 2). Higher starting yields can also provide a cushion against potential price declines.
Exhibit 2: Leveraged loans have offered relatively high yields with low duration
| Index | Sector | YTW | Duration |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morningstar LSTA U.S. Performing Loans Index | Leveraged loans | 8.1% | 0.2 |
| ICE BofAML U.S. HY Constrained Index | U.S. high yield | 7.0% | 3.0 |
| J. P. Morgan Emerging Markets Bond Index Global (EMBI Global) | Emerging-market bonds | 6.7% | 6.9 |
| Bloomberg U.S. Corporate Index | U.S. credit | 5.1% | 6.6 |
| Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Securitized: MBS, ABS, and CMBS | Securitized | 4.9% | 5.3 |
| Bloomberg U.S. Government Bond Index | U.S. government | 4.3% | 5.8 |
Past performance is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged, and performance of the indices includes reinvestment of dividends and interest income, unless otherwise noted. Indices are not illustrative of any particular investment, and it is not possible to invest directly in an index. See index definitions on the final page of this report. Source: Bloomberg, FactSet, ICE®, S&P, and JPMorgan, as of 5/29/26.
Beyond income, leveraged loans can also help advisors think differently about diversification. Diversification needn’t be derived exclusively from owning longer-duration bonds. It can also come from owning assets with different risk factors, different income streams, and different sensitivities to economic and market conditions. Fidelity research suggests that floating-rate loans can serve as a strategic allocation within diversified portfolios, rather than simply a short-term tactical position.
Of course, every asset class carries risks.
Credit spreads can widen. Defaults can rise. Markets can become more volatile than expected. That is precisely why today's broader opportunity set matters. Advisors have access to a wider range of tools that can potentially help balance growth objectives, income needs, and diversification goals—and this may be the most important lesson of this investment regime. The debate should not be whether the 60/40 portfolio is “dead,” but whether it has evolved. Once viewed as a defensive allocation, the “40” can now do more to help manage risk, provide potential sources of return, and create opportunity.
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1. Source: International Monetary Fund (IMF), as of 3/30/26.
Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index is a broad-based flagship benchmark that measures the investment-grade, U.S. dollar–denominated, fixed-rate taxable bond market. The index includes Treasuries, government-related and corporate securities, mortgage-backed securities (agency fixed-rate pass-throughs), asset-backed securities, and collateralized mortgage-backed securities (agency and non-agency).
The S&P 500 index is a market capitalization-weighted index of 500 common stocks chosen for market size, liquidity, and industry group representation to represent U.S. equity performance.
The information contained herein is general in nature and should not be construed as legal or tax advice. This material is not intended to provide, and should not be relied on for, tax, legal, investment, or accounting advice. Tax laws and regulations are complex and subject to change. You should consult your own tax, legal, investment, and accounting advisors before engaging in any transaction.
Some of this information is forward-looking and is subject to change.
Views expressed are as of the date indicated, based on the information available at that time, and may change based on market and other conditions. Unless otherwise noted, the opinions provided are those of the authors and not necessarily those of Fidelity Investments or its affiliates. Fidelity does not assume any duty to update any of the information.
Investment decisions should be based on an individual’s own goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk.
These materials are provided for informational purposes only and should not be used or construed as a recommendation of any security, sector, or investment strategy.
In general, the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk.
As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. Fixed income securities also carry inflation, credit, and default risks for both issuers and counterparties.
Stock markets, especially foreign markets, are volatile and can decline significantly in response to adverse issuer, political, regulatory, market, or economic developments.