SPOTLIGHT

Five key risks of retirement

Before your clients can embark on building a practical road map to financial security, they need to understand five key risks that can potentially derail a lifetime income plan.

Longevity
Longevity

Plan for living longer than you think

A retirement income plan may help to ensure that your client’s assets last as long as their retirement. When thinking about how long they might need income, many people tend to think in terms of life expectancy. But statistically, half of the population will live longer than their expectancy, which means that they will underestimate how long they will need their savings to last.

Bar graph denoting the average life expectancy compared to retirement age for men, women, and couples.



Source: The American Academy of Actuaries and the Society of Actuaries Research Institute have developed this longevity illustrator to help you understand your financial longevity risk in retirement so you can think about strategies for managing your financial resources to last your lifetime, as well as your spouse/partner’s lifetime. This tool is not designed to be a financial planner. The Actuaries Longevity Illustrator does not predict how long you can expect to live. There are many factors that affect how long you might live, and this tool reflects only a few of them. The Actuaries Longevity Illustrator provides reasonable estimates based on average expectations. However, average expectations may or may not reflect your situation, and your actual lifetime could be significantly longer or shorter than these illustrations. In addition, this longevity illustrator assumes you will live until the retirement age you entered. It is intended to help you understand your longevity risk after you retire, not to illustrate your chances of living until your retirement age. This chart assumes a couple at age 65 who do not smoke and are of average general health. 

Health care expenses
Health care expenses

Saving for rising costs

 

Longer life spans, rising medical costs, declining employer-sponsored medical coverage, and possible shortfalls ahead for Medicare all add up to make health care expenses a critical challenge for retirees and pre-retirees alike.

In fact, a Fidelity study1 estimates that a couple retiring in 2025 at age 65 may need current savings of approximately $345,000 to supplement Medicare and cover their out-of-pocket health care costs in retirement.

The estimate includes:

Chart showing percent cost estimates of life spans, rising medical costs, and healthcare costs

Inflation
Inflation

Low inflation could damage purchasing power²

Inflation is the long-term tendency of money to lose purchasing power. And it can have a particularly negative effect on retirees because it chips away at retirement income in two ways:

  • Increases the future cost of goods and services
  • Potentially erodes the value of assets set aside to meet those costs

Graph showing long term tendency of money to lose purchasing power over time


All numbers were calculated based on hypothetical inflation rates of 2%, 3%, and 4% (historical average from 1926 to 2022 was 3%) to show the effects of inflation over time. Actual inflation rates may be more or less.

Asset allocation
Asset allocation

Retirees need stocks for the long haul

Some people fear losing their nest egg, so they avoid stocks and stick with fixed-income investments. But by doing this they give up long-term growth potential and risk outliving their money.

1926–2024 comparison of average annual rising costs vs. average annual investment returns3

1926-2024 comparison chart of average rising costs vs. average annual investment returns

Stocks are composed of domestic and foreign stocks.

Fidelity Investments and Morningstar Inc. Hypothetical value of assets held in untaxed portfolios invested in U.S. stocks, foreign stocks, bonds, or short-term investments. Stocks, foreign stocks, bonds, and short-term investments are represented by total returns of the IA SBBI US Large Stock TR USD Ext 1/1926-1/1987, Dow Jones Total Market from 2/1087 to 12/2024; IA SBBI US Large Stock TR USD Ext 1/1926 to 12/1969, MSCI EAFE 1/1970 to 11/2000, MSCI ACWI Ex USA GR USD 12/2000 to 12/2024; U.S. Intermediate-Term Government Bond Index from 1/1926 to 12/1975, Barclays Aggregate Bond from 1/1976 to 12/2024; and IA SBBI US 30-Day T-Bills 1/1926 to 12/2024. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

Excess withdrawal
Excess withdrawal

Sustainable withdrawal rates over life of portfolio6

Even the savviest asset allocation strategy can misfire without an equally wise strategy for withdrawing your assets. The withdrawal rate you decide on can dramatically affect how long your money will last.

Bar graph showing how withdrawal rate will affect how long money lasts over retirement

Where will retirement income come from

Many people counted on Social Security and pension benefits to cover their retirement income needs. But today, retirees will be more personally responsible for funding their own retirements.

Graph showing the five areas retirement income comes from


Source: Income for the Population Aged 65 and Older: Evidence from the Health Retirement Study (HRS), August 5, 2025.

Want to know more?

Let's talk about retirement solutions for your clients.